U.S. Growth Slowed to 1.5% in the Second Quarter. July Sales Fell
The U.S. economy kept expanding in the second quarter, but slower GDP growth and a July retail-sales decline raise questions about consumer momentum.
The U.S. economy kept expanding in the second quarter, but slower GDP growth and a July retail-sales decline raise questions about consumer momentum.
Small-business confidence barely changed in Q2, but rising inflation concerns, weaker investment plans and softer activity data point to caution.
The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported slower U.S. economic growth in the second quarter of 2026, while June data showed continued increases in personal income, disposable income and consumer spending.
Preliminary June sales at U.S. eating-and-drinking places reached $102.5 billion, up from $102.4 billion in May, according to National Restaurant Association analysis of Census Bureau data.
The National Restaurant Association lowered its 2026 sales-growth projection to 4.3%, citing higher gasoline prices, household budget pressure and uneven customer traffic.
China’s first dedicated 2026-2030 consumption plan targets 60 trillion yuan in retail sales, but weak demand and precautionary saving complicate delivery.
U.S. households increased inflation-adjusted spending in June, but slower income growth, lower saving and persistent inflation raised questions about resilience.
June retail sales rose in dollar terms, but unit demand fell in Circana’s measure as Walmart and competitors compete for cautious back-to-school shoppers.
June retail sales rose modestly, but gas prices, inflation and online promotions complicate the picture. July data arrive after the August 12 CPI report.
The U.S. economy continued growing in the second quarter, but slower headline growth and elevated inflation could keep pressure on household budgets and rates.
United States Small Business and Main Street Economy – May spending rose 0.7% and the PCE price index was 4.1% higher than a year ago, keeping pressure on Main Street budgets and Fed watchers.
United States Prices and Inflation Watch — BEA said May PCE prices rose 4.1% year over year and core PCE rose 3.4%, leaving price pressure and Fed policy in focus. ([bea.gov](https://www.bea.gov/news/2026/personal-income-and-outlays-may-2026))
United States Small Business and Main Street Economy – May retail sales climbed, and June sentiment improved, but shoppers are still watching prices and gas costs.
May inflation rose 4.2% from a year earlier as gasoline stayed expensive, consumers kept spending, and households had little savings cushion.
April inflation sped up to 3.8% while retail sales rose 0.5%, leaving households with higher costs even as consumer spending stayed resilient.